Valspar Championship 2024: Odds, prediction, worth picks, extra

A full discipline of 156 PGA Tour professionals will head to the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook for the Valspar Championship this week.

This match marks the fourth—and last—PGA Tour cease in Florida, with the “Snake Pit” taking middle stage within the golf world.

The sixteenth, seventeenth, and 18th holes on the Copperhead Course comprise the “Snake Pit,” as they rank among the many most difficult three-hole stretches on the PGA Tour.

Valspar Championship Odds

Listed here are the present odds for gamers to win, per DraftKings:

• Xander Schauffele +800
• Sam Burns +1200
• Justin Thomas +1400
• Jordan Spieth +1400
• Tony Finau +2200
• Cameron Younger +2200
• Brian Harman +2200
• Sungjae Im +2500
• Nick Taylor +3500
• Min Woo Lee +3500
• Keegan Bradley +4000
• Eric Cole +4000
• Keith Mitchell +4000

DraftKings

Valspar Championship Predictions

Final yr, American Taylor Moore birdied the tough sixteenth gap to take a one-shot lead throughout Sunday’s last spherical. He then made par on 17 and 18, and claimed his first PGA Tour victory by one stroke over Adam Schenk.

Ending two strokes behind had been Tommy Fleetwood and Jordan Spieth.

This yr, 5 of the highest 20 gamers within the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR) will tee it up at Innisbrook.

Xander Schauffele and Brian Harman, recent off their runner-up finishes at The Gamers, will crisscross the state to the Tampa Bay space for the Valspar Championship.

Schauffele final performed on this occasion in 2022, tying for twelfth. Harman, in the meantime, has had extra appearances at Innisbrook, however extra on the previous Georgia Bulldog follows beneath.

Keegan Bradley, Sam Burns, and Spieth are additionally within the discipline, as are Justin Thomas, Lucas Glover, and Min Woo Lee.

Photograph by Mike Lawrie/Getty Photos

Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth bounce again

Regardless of each gamers lacking the reduce final week at TPC Sawgrass, we consider that each Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth will bounce again on the Valspar Championship. These two main champions will arrive at Innisbrook refreshed due to their early exit in Ponta Vedra Seaside.

Over his final three appearances at Innisbrook, Thomas has tied for thirteenth, third, and tenth. Shotmakers sometimes do nicely on this golf course, and Thomas has each shot required in his arsenal. We like him to complete within the prime 5 at +330 this week.

As for Spieth, he additionally bodes a robust document on the Copperhead Course.

He gained the Valspar Championship in 2015 in a playoff over Patrick Reed and Sean O’Hair, maybe foreshadowing his main breakthrough at Augusta Nationwide a couple of weeks later.

Spieth most lately tied for third there a yr in the past, nevertheless it may have been a greater consequence if not for 2 bogies on his last three holes. He hit it into the water on 16, which in the end sealed his destiny.

However, we like Spieth to document his third prime 10 end of the season at a value of +175.

Photograph by Julio Aguilar/Getty Photos

Brian Harman struggles

Coming off his finest end of the season on the Gamers Championship, Brian Harman is now headed to a course that has routinely stumped him throughout his profession.

Of the 9 instances he has performed on this occasion, Harman has missed the reduce six instances, together with final season when he carded rounds of 70 and 75 on the par-71 structure. With that stated, Harman did tie for fifth at Innisbrook in 2022, ending three strokes out of a playoff gained by Sam Burns.

However this week will mark a 3rd straight occasion for Harman. Regardless that it seems as if he’s rounding into kind as the foremost season approaches, we consider that Harman must be prevented as a choose this week. This course simply doesn’t match his eye.

Valspar Championship Longshot Decide

This could possibly be the week for considered one of golf’s favourite gamers.

We like Joel Dahmen to parlay his success from The Gamers Championship into the Valspar Championship. He tied for eleventh at TPC Sawgrass, capturing two 67s and a 4-under 68 over the ultimate three rounds to tie for eleventh.

Dahmen ranked fifteenth in strokes gained approaching the inexperienced final week, as TPC Sawgrass places a premium on iron play. The Copperhead Course is comparable, as sturdy iron play is required to win at Innisbrook.

Photograph by Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Photos

Final yr, when Dahmen tied for 61st on the Valspar, the previous Washington Husky ranked sixth in strokes gained approaching the inexperienced. He couldn’t putt to avoid wasting his life, which explains why he completed 15 strokes behind Taylor Moore. He ranked 68th in strokes gained placing, shedding virtually 5 strokes on the greens.

However Dahmen has by no means missed the reduce at this occasion, as his finest end got here in 2019, when he tied for thirtieth.

Selecting him to win at +10000 this week is a bit formidable, particularly contemplating that this discipline options quite a few high-caliber gamers. However we like Dahmen to complete within the prime 10 at +850. Certainly, golf followers in all places can be rooting him on all weekend lengthy.

Valspar Championship Decide

Outdoors of the current Scottie Scheffler domination, the theme of this PGA Tour season has been first-time winners.

We consider that one other first-time winner will emerge victorious this week at Innisbrook.

As such, we’re going to with lengthy shot Eric Cole to prevail at +4000.

Though he has missed two cuts inside the final three weeks, Cole gained the PGA Tour’s Rookie of the 12 months award final season. He seemingly performs each week, regardless of the place the match is.

Cole has performed in each single occasion to date this season, together with his finest end being a tie for tenth on the Genesis Invitational. He additionally completed twenty first or higher 4 different instances, most lately on the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Plus, like Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas, Cole will arrive within the Tampa Bay space well-rested and able to go. He’s due for a win, and we consider he lastly breaks by way of on the Valspar Championship.

For all different sports activities betting content material, try SB Nation’s DraftKings web site.

Jack Milko is a golf employees author for SB Nation’s Taking part in By. Remember to try @_PlayingThrough for extra golf protection. You may observe him on Twitter @jack_milko as nicely.